Skip to main content

Is Corona Virus is losing its powers?? || Israel Nobel prize winner says COVID 19 losing effectiveness|| Pakistan and Iran can fight Corona || UN should lift sanctions on Iran?

Nobel laureate and Stanford professor Michael Levitt has offered the public reassurance during the peak of novel coronavirus outbreak, saying according to his calculations the spread of the virus is slowing down and will come to a halt soon.
Levitt, an American-British-Israeli biophysicist who teaches structural biology at Stanford University and spends much of his time in Tel Aviv, did not discover a treatment or a cure, just did what he does best: crunched the numbers.
The statistics led the professor, who has unexpectedly become a reassuring figure in China, to the conclusion that, contrary to the grim forecasts being branded about, the spread of the virus will come to a halt.
In an interview to Calcalist last week, Levitt said he might not be an expert in epidemiology, but understands calculations and statistics very well.

The calming messages he sent to his friends in China were translated into Chinese and passed from person to person, making him a popular subject for interviews in the Asian nation. His forecasts turned out to be correct: the number of new cases reported each day started to fall as of February 7. A week later, the mortality rate started falling as well.
Even though he believes the pandemic will run its course, Levitt emphasises his support of all the safety measures currently being taken and the need to adhere to them.
The biophysicist received his Nobel Prize for chemistry in 2013 for “the development of multiscale models for complex chemical systems”, according to the article.
He decided to calculate the rate of infections and mortality rate on request of his wife’s Chinese friends in hope of reaching some conclusions last month.
His wife Shoshan Brosh is a researcher of Chinese art and a curator for local photographers, meaning the couple splits their time between the US, Israel, and China.
“The rate of infection of the virus in the Hubei province increased by 30% each day – that is a scary statistic. I am not an influenza expert but I can analyse numbers and that is exponential growth,” he was quoted as saying. At this rate, the entire world should have been infected within 90 days, he added.
But then, the trend changed. When Levitt started analysing the data on February 1, Hubei had 1,800 new cases each day and within six days this number reached 4,700, he said. “And then, on February 7, the number of new infections started to drop linearly and did not stop. A week later, the same happened with the number of the deaths. This dramatic change in the curve marked the median point and enabled better prediction of when the pandemic will end. Based on that, I concluded that the situation in all of China will improve within two weeks. And, indeed, now there are very few new infection cases.”

Comments

Popular Posts

Hybrid war and Challenges for Pakistan|| India and China at LAC || Will Pakistan tackle all financial and other regional challenges or migrate these thereat,Let time will dwcide

Pakistan is on yh edge of several disasters ,would you like to analyse which disasters I am telling or what kind hybrid war are going on let's read and analyse condition . The world has changed. Wars are fought no more on battlegrounds but with touches of buttons and turnings of knobs. Hybrid warfar e has revolutionized the arena where every country exhausts all possible means without even moving. “The categories of warfare are blurring and no longer fit into neat, tidy boxes. One can expect to see more tools and tactics of destruction – from the sophisticated to the simple – being employed simultaneously in hybrid and more complex forms of warfare”, Robert M. Gates, Former U.S. Secretary of Defence. Conflict is inherent to the structure of the international paradigm, a construct of state system and composition of human society. The nature of wars resulting from this conflict has remained constant as a political and social phenomenon, however, the character of war continues to tran...

Corona Virus is spreading all over the world || Is China is behind this COVID-19 || Will Pakistan defeat Corona Viruse ?

The attacks of Corona virus are gaining boast in all over the world after affecting China .Now China reports few dozen cases and which are mainly foreigners travelling to China or native Chinese coming by to home . The attacks of Corona are now very rare in China . Corona Spread:- From Italy to Iran ,we can say both these countries have different causes and aspects of Corona Attacks. One country having 25% of its population above 60 and other have sanctions , less trained staff, economic issues and many more reasons to blame for this spread .But surprisingly news are coming from world super power America that now it has more effected patients than Italy,China and Iran . America and Corona:- A country having most trained doctors, one of the world best health system and world best hospitals is now becoming epicenter of COVID-19 . Yesterday total tally of effected people was more than 80k and it's increasing leaps and bounds . Is Pakistan Defeating Corona :- In the no ...

Aurat March 2020 |Mera Jism MERI Marzi | #Auratazadimarch| Is that right way for Women empowerment with kind of bullshit play cards?

The Hallways are abuzz with conversation ; the atmosphere is charged. A group of women exists their voices are steady murmur .It is a sight to behold. Aurat March 2020 https://noumankhan1999.blogspot.com It is now the third consecutive year that an Aurat March 2020 is being held .The march last year was groundbreaking in terms of popularity .Social media was like a live wire,with pictures and videos of procession floating around .And every one know now what happens . Everyone seems to have opinion on the placards that women carried out in march . In Pakistan these all these activities created a controversial debate and polarised civil society .Few days ago Marvi Sarmid and a well known writer Khalil ur Rehman had a abusive fight on live TV. As a responsible  citizen I will never oppose Women March . The Aurat March 3.0 has very abusive placards which is main concern for our society. We as a Muslim never disgrace any gender,Islam has given equal rights to eve...